%LET ETC=m2 m3 m4 m5 m6 m7 m8 m9 m10; data Pamlico; input date :monyy7. LFLOWP Lr8 @@; format date monyy7.; cards; OCT1931 -0.3623 -0.8766 NOV1931 -0.9640 -1.0940 DEC1931 -0.6430 0.2017 JAN1932 -0.1341 0.0573 FEB1932 -0.4071 -0.2977 MAR1932 -0.0073 -0.0883 APR1932 -0.4513 -0.2925 MAY1932 -0.7262 -0.0875 JUN1932 -0.8610 -0.3134 JUL1932 -1.1533 -0.7778 AUG1932 -1.3332 -0.3392 SEP1932 -2.2862 -0.5046 OCT1932 -0.3227 0.5243 NOV1932 0.0875 0.7636 DEC1932 0.6399 0.3168 JAN1933 0.2506 -0.1829 FEB1933 0.0884 0.1210 MAR1933 -0.4873 -0.3685 APR1933 0.3509 0.1518 MAY1933 0.0100 0.1754 JUN1933 -0.7307 -0.5579 JUL1933 -0.9075 0.3491 AUG1933 -0.7682 0.2513 SEP1933 -1.2736 0.1352 OCT1933 -2.3721 -1.0250 NOV1933 -2.0024 -0.7613 DEC1933 -2.0860 -0.8157 JAN1934 -2.4139 -0.3402 FEB1934 -1.9790 0.2673 MAR1934 -0.2445 0.4801 APR1934 0.8798 0.2809 MAY1934 -0.1083 0.4066 JUN1934 0.6632 -0.2355 JUL1934 0.2149 0.2580 AUG1934 1.1084 0.2118 SEP1934 1.5947 0.6655 OCT1934 0.0185 -0.9066 NOV1934 -0.3765 -0.0147 DEC1934 1.2963 -0.2636 JAN1935 0.3126 0.0033 FEB1935 -0.4780 -0.3487 MAR1935 -0.0758 0.0056 APR1935 0.8679 0.3626 MAY1935 0.1199 -0.2507 JUN1935 -0.7571 -0.5252 JUL1935 0.8252 0.6574 AUG1935 -0.5690 -0.1445 SEP1935 1.4089 0.2266 OCT1935 -0.1695 -0.8707 NOV1935 0.4558 0.1472 DEC1935 -0.0176 -0.1052 JAN1936 1.2674 0.6010 FEB1936 0.8633 0.2085 MAR1936 0.3006 0.3036 APR1936 1.0199 0.2237 MAY1936 -0.4557 -0.8807 JUN1936 0.3760 0.2069 JUL1936 0.5509 0.3764 AUG1936 0.4672 -0.5671 SEP1936 -0.2828 -0.2686 OCT1936 0.5874 0.6030 NOV1936 0.2664 0.0001 DEC1936 0.8919 0.6724 JAN1937 0.9269 0.7118 FEB1937 0.7985 0.1677 MAR1937 -0.0903 -0.4591 APR1937 0.6221 0.7651 MAY1937 0.8574 -0.6661 JUN1937 0.2183 -0.0637 JUL1937 0.6122 0.4656 AUG1937 1.0228 0.1655 SEP1937 1.7894 -0.3780 OCT1937 0.6496 0.2774 NOV1937 0.4618 0.4273 DEC1937 0.1378 -0.2992 JAN1938 -0.0190 -0.2447 FEB1938 -0.8495 -0.7253 MAR1938 -0.6363 -0.2948 APR1938 -0.0502 0.4706 MAY1938 0.0424 0.3871 JUN1938 1.5378 0.6874 JUL1938 1.3628 -0.0431 AUG1938 0.7182 -0.8505 SEP1938 1.0178 1.2016 OCT1938 0.1471 -0.1599 NOV1938 0.0297 -0.1097 DEC1938 0.0914 0.2238 JAN1939 -0.1839 0.1802 FEB1939 0.8381 0.6423 MAR1939 0.5258 0.0056 APR1939 0.1030 0.3125 MAY1939 0.6507 -0.4386 JUN1939 -0.2853 0.1265 JUL1939 1.0476 0.5263 AUG1939 1.2077 0.5708 SEP1939 1.8829 -0.7680 OCT1939 0.3617 0.2623 NOV1939 0.1179 0.0921 DEC1939 -0.4059 -0.4009 JAN1940 -0.5070 -0.1289 FEB1940 0.0202 -0.0998 MAR1940 -0.4057 -0.2798 APR1940 0.1211 0.1307 MAY1940 0.3417 0.2483 JUN1940 0.0901 -0.4159 JUL1940 -0.3624 -0.1502 AUG1940 2.1961 1.2731 SEP1940 0.3223 -0.3870 OCT1940 -0.4104 -0.6574 NOV1940 0.5591 0.2783 DEC1940 -0.1943 -0.2288 JAN1941 -0.4992 -0.4521 FEB1941 -0.6796 -0.1336 MAR1941 -0.4696 -0.0776 APR1941 -0.0261 -0.0944 MAY1941 -0.8977 -0.8710 JUN1941 -0.6386 0.1604 JUL1941 1.4588 0.2655 AUG1941 -0.0658 0.0426 SEP1941 -0.7466 -0.6819 OCT1941 -1.1986 -0.2691 NOV1941 -1.2390 -0.6170 DEC1941 -0.9872 0.2262 JAN1942 -1.6305 -0.4351 FEB1942 -0.7640 -0.4389 MAR1942 -0.2685 0.2970 APR1942 -0.7953 -0.8643 MAY1942 -0.1592 -0.2063 JUN1942 -0.7093 -0.3683 JUL1942 -0.1864 -0.6635 AUG1942 0.5178 0.4406 SEP1942 0.3711 -0.1761 OCT1942 1.7351 1.2447 NOV1942 0.4103 -0.4490 DEC1942 0.5967 0.2600 JAN1943 0.4847 0.1587 FEB1943 0.1489 -0.7513 MAR1943 -0.0749 0.3278 APR1943 0.1588 -0.1935 MAY1943 -0.2440 0.0924 JUN1943 -0.0298 -0.1451 JUL1943 0.7419 0.0532 AUG1943 -1.2842 -0.8644 SEP1943 -1.5436 -0.7112 OCT1943 -1.4962 -0.5419 NOV1943 -1.2327 -0.4056 DEC1943 -1.4546 0.0638 JAN1944 -0.2521 0.1320 FEB1944 0.0689 0.4792 MAR1944 0.5835 0.6157 APR1944 0.6262 0.1596 MAY1944 0.0265 -0.4084 JUN1944 -0.6153 -0.8222 JUL1944 0.1985 -0.0452 AUG1944 0.7144 -0.2591 SEP1944 0.3074 0.8859 OCT1944 1.9275 -0.0638 NOV1944 0.3089 0.2060 DEC1944 1.0093 -0.1855 JAN1945 0.1188 -0.4250 FEB1945 0.3314 0.4237 MAR1945 -0.1053 -0.8961 APR1945 -0.8355 -0.4097 MAY1945 0.0009 -0.0020 JUN1945 0.2418 0.2396 JUL1945 1.5991 0.9008 AUG1945 1.3988 0.0426 SEP1945 2.3741 0.5165 OCT1945 0.7681 -0.4022 NOV1945 0.2990 0.0496 DEC1945 0.9450 0.7395 JAN1946 0.8031 -0.0415 FEB1946 0.5202 0.1457 MAR1946 -0.5117 -0.6824 APR1946 -0.2025 0.3245 MAY1946 1.0801 0.5036 JUN1946 0.7283 0.0829 JUL1946 0.4532 0.5842 AUG1946 -0.3824 -0.0335 SEP1946 -0.2020 0.0775 OCT1946 0.1342 -0.3074 NOV1946 0.2128 0.1741 DEC1946 -0.2658 -0.6509 JAN1947 0.1936 0.2134 FEB1947 -0.8520 -0.9117 MAR1947 -0.4865 -0.0830 APR1947 -0.3147 0.0633 MAY1947 -0.6111 -0.5586 JUN1947 -0.2490 -0.0365 JUL1947 0.6365 0.0014 AUG1947 -0.0269 -0.0049 SEP1947 0.6506 0.6619 OCT1947 0.6680 0.1430 NOV1947 1.7778 0.9499 DEC1947 0.3243 -0.2163 JAN1948 0.1204 0.1587 FEB1948 0.9296 0.2416 MAR1948 0.2803 -0.0830 APR1948 -0.0178 -0.2654 MAY1948 -0.3431 0.1992 JUN1948 0.2528 -0.4495 JUL1948 0.0620 -0.0993 AUG1948 0.0799 -0.3546 SEP1948 -0.6752 -0.1032 OCT1948 1.0284 0.0997 NOV1948 1.6875 1.2266 DEC1948 1.3925 0.3653 JAN1949 0.3847 -0.5622 FEB1949 0.1712 -0.0475 MAR1949 -0.3564 -0.3405 APR1949 -0.3409 0.0048 MAY1949 0.3640 0.2460 JUN1949 -0.3391 0.8132 JUL1949 0.5816 -0.0495 AUG1949 0.9887 0.7402 SEP1949 1.6511 0.1578 OCT1949 0.1242 -0.3180 NOV1949 0.9223 0.2554 DEC1949 0.0625 -0.4256 JAN1950 -0.3923 -0.3820 FEB1950 -0.7371 -0.7125 MAR1950 -0.8219 -0.3069 APR1950 -0.9243 -0.3587 MAY1950 0.1799 0.3893 JUN1950 -0.0327 0.4939 JUL1950 0.8168 0.6966 AUG1950 -0.0285 -0.4605 SEP1950 0.4615 0.3040 OCT1950 0.2991 -0.1889 NOV1950 -0.2433 -0.4652 DEC1950 0.0166 -0.1198 JAN1951 -0.7950 -0.7445 FEB1951 -0.9295 -0.4458 MAR1951 -0.7427 -0.0830 APR1951 -0.0257 -0.0617 MAY1951 -0.5402 -0.3151 JUN1951 -0.3194 0.2091 JUL1951 -0.3139 -0.2792 AUG1951 -0.1149 -0.0940 SEP1951 -1.2393 -0.5503 OCT1951 -1.2769 0.1079 NOV1951 -0.3386 0.3456 DEC1951 -0.2018 -0.2039 JAN1952 -0.1866 -0.0765 FEB1952 0.1701 0.3867 MAR1952 0.7775 0.3797 APR1952 -0.1878 -0.2160 MAY1952 0.1733 -0.1178 JUN1952 -0.2923 -0.4433 JUL1952 -0.4327 0.0077 AUG1952 1.1190 0.4696 SEP1952 1.0127 -0.3810 OCT1952 -0.1463 -0.5127 NOV1952 0.9624 0.7370 DEC1952 0.1047 -0.1434 JAN1953 0.1473 -0.3402 FEB1953 0.3326 0.2994 MAR1953 0.1736 -0.2858 APR1953 0.1482 0.1174 MAY1953 -0.0010 -0.0442 JUN1953 1.1452 0.1197 JUL1953 -0.0044 -0.7107 AUG1953 -0.8309 0.4588 SEP1953 -1.1583 0.0681 OCT1953 -0.7728 -0.8476 NOV1953 -0.8917 0.1418 DEC1953 0.0515 0.3331 JAN1954 1.0510 0.6286 FEB1954 0.1690 -0.5915 MAR1954 0.0244 0.2226 APR1954 0.2099 -0.1935 MAY1954 0.7634 0.3936 JUN1954 0.1666 -0.8922 JUL1954 -1.0894 -0.2509 AUG1954 -1.1364 0.1225 SEP1954 -1.9357 -0.3369 OCT1954 -1.4118 -0.3985 NOV1954 -0.9510 -0.1610 DEC1954 -0.7155 0.0101 JAN1955 -1.4443 -0.2120 FEB1955 -0.6408 -0.2666 MAR1955 -0.1727 -0.0618 APR1955 -0.5163 -0.3305 MAY1955 -0.7181 -0.1318 JUN1955 0.0095 0.1782 JUL1955 0.5414 -0.4346 AUG1955 1.7681 1.1067 SEP1955 2.1696 1.2834 OCT1955 0.7521 -0.3576 NOV1955 0.1418 -0.1973 DEC1955 -0.5380 -0.8256 JAN1956 -1.0222 -0.3307 FEB1956 0.1570 0.3998 MAR1956 0.1729 -0.0963 APR1956 0.4414 0.2979 MAY1956 0.3238 -0.3026 JUN1956 -0.0832 -0.1219 JUL1956 0.6458 0.4656 AUG1956 0.2250 0.2138 SEP1956 -0.1956 0.1691 OCT1956 0.4748 0.8498 NOV1956 0.6010 -0.5150 DEC1956 0.6853 -0.4328 JAN1957 -0.4769 -0.0576 FEB1957 0.6253 0.3040 MAR1957 0.3478 0.1241 APR1957 -0.3161 -0.5178 MAY1957 -0.6757 -0.0712 JUN1957 0.0764 -0.2084 JUL1957 -1.2097 -0.7715 AUG1957 -0.8389 -0.0714 SEP1957 -0.5328 0.4055 OCT1957 -0.2221 0.3557 NOV1957 0.6259 0.8809 DEC1957 1.3498 0.5429 JAN1958 0.6219 0.1514 FEB1958 0.1277 0.1309 MAR1958 0.3809 0.1337 APR1958 0.6694 0.3077 MAY1958 1.7502 0.4044 JUN1958 0.3362 -0.0316 JUL1958 0.4687 -0.7137 AUG1958 1.1225 0.7989 SEP1958 0.6853 -0.4540 OCT1958 0.8022 0.7386 NOV1958 0.2210 -0.0909 DEC1958 0.0106 0.1943 JAN1959 0.4507 -0.4487 FEB1959 0.0285 0.0579 MAR1959 -0.1620 0.3946 APR1959 0.9878 0.5478 MAY1959 -0.1607 -0.7361 JUN1959 -0.3455 -0.5448 JUL1959 1.3376 0.7465 AUG1959 0.5528 -0.4281 SEP1959 1.1097 -0.1032 OCT1959 2.3834 0.9093 NOV1959 1.4625 -0.0723 DEC1959 0.7114 0.0156 JAN1960 0.1810 0.4954 FEB1960 1.0344 0.5540 MAR1960 0.3911 -0.0670 APR1960 0.5463 -0.0795 MAY1960 0.4103 0.1849 JUN1960 -0.1115 -0.1977 JUL1960 0.0962 0.6276 AUG1960 1.4706 0.1038 SEP1960 1.6624 0.4557 OCT1960 0.6024 -0.2352 NOV1960 -0.1276 -0.4450 DEC1960 -0.2577 -0.2350 JAN1961 -0.3951 -0.1657 FEB1961 0.5344 0.5642 MAR1961 0.2560 -0.0644 APR1961 0.3607 0.2882 MAY1961 0.8711 0.4323 JUN1961 0.6235 0.4724 JUL1961 0.4873 -0.4527 AUG1961 0.1063 0.1369 SEP1961 -0.4354 -0.4263 OCT1961 -0.7962 -0.1251 NOV1961 -0.8437 -0.1874 DEC1961 -0.1124 0.0744 JAN1962 0.5342 0.5386 FEB1962 0.2011 -0.1594 MAR1962 0.4692 0.3036 APR1962 0.6356 0.3221 MAY1962 -0.2656 -0.2841 JUN1962 0.2858 0.8322 JUL1962 0.8202 0.0777 AUG1962 -0.0627 -0.2591 SEP1962 -0.2731 0.1397 OCT1962 -0.2442 -0.3613 NOV1962 0.9798 0.8886 DEC1962 0.0584 0.1212 JAN1963 0.2976 0.1969 FEB1963 0.0304 0.1432 MAR1963 0.3746 -0.3221 APR1963 -0.5195 -0.2755 MAY1963 -0.4300 0.0317 JUN1963 -0.4795 0.1333 JUL1963 -1.0122 -0.4893 AUG1963 -1.3251 -0.3012 SEP1963 -1.2360 0.2047 OCT1963 -1.2996 -0.4445 NOV1963 0.4471 0.5376 DEC1963 0.4331 -0.0452 JAN1964 0.3319 0.3872 FEB1964 0.2298 0.4792 MAR1964 0.0082 -0.1787 APR1964 0.4230 -0.0038 MAY1964 -0.5770 -0.6822 JUN1964 -1.0380 -0.4901 JUL1964 -1.1309 -0.1908 AUG1964 -0.8776 0.3115 SEP1964 0.5818 0.6874 OCT1964 2.1442 1.0552 NOV1964 0.1157 -0.3979 DEC1964 0.6626 0.2528 JAN1965 0.0505 -0.5114 FEB1965 0.1516 0.0217 MAR1965 0.1223 -0.0382 APR1965 -0.3710 -0.2755 MAY1965 -0.3674 -0.2210 JUN1965 1.1614 0.5726 JUL1965 0.9556 0.7704 AUG1965 1.0120 -0.4605 SEP1965 -0.0805 -0.4386 OCT1965 -0.5408 -0.4213 NOV1965 -1.0462 -0.7613 DEC1965 -1.4674 -0.9596 JAN1966 -1.1890 0.5037 FEB1966 0.1965 0.2696 MAR1966 0.3278 -0.2591 APR1966 -0.7877 -0.4549 MAY1966 0.6301 0.9935 JUN1966 0.2601 0.1514 JUL1966 -1.3124 -0.8873 AUG1966 -0.4306 0.5481 SEP1966 -1.1535 -0.0109 OCT1966 -1.0242 -0.4922 NOV1966 -1.0443 -0.5582 DEC1966 -1.1979 0.1744 JAN1967 -0.5873 -0.0229 FEB1967 -0.3146 0.1749 MAR1967 -0.9918 -0.9056 APR1967 -1.1247 -0.5299 MAY1967 -0.7336 -0.0957 JUN1967 -0.3025 -0.4189 JUL1967 -0.4743 0.4865 AUG1967 1.2539 0.8534 SEP1967 0.5101 0.1623 OCT1967 -0.2862 -0.5086 NOV1967 -0.6667 -0.1741 DEC1967 0.5467 0.3744 JAN1968 0.5680 0.1611 FEB1968 -0.9999 -0.6915 MAR1968 -0.4641 0.0132 APR1968 -0.5103 0.1148 MAY1968 -0.7481 0.2203 JUN1968 0.0456 -0.3049 JUL1968 -0.3397 0.0878 AUG1968 -1.0707 -0.9435 SEP1968 -2.4034 -0.2855 OCT1968 -1.2230 0.6936 NOV1968 -0.2600 0.2347 DEC1968 -0.7283 -0.3058 JAN1969 -0.4727 -0.2062 FEB1969 0.0406 0.0006 MAR1969 0.2690 0.3946 APR1969 -0.2458 0.1386 MAY1969 -0.5445 -0.2841 JUN1969 0.4807 0.1311 JUL1969 0.0856 0.2504 AUG1969 1.2150 0.2058 SEP1969 0.5496 -0.0133 OCT1969 1.0020 -0.2085 NOV1969 -0.0225 0.2528 DEC1969 0.0823 0.2262 JAN1970 -0.4818 -0.1829 FEB1970 0.2834 0.2972 MAR1970 -0.3278 0.0459 APR1970 0.5519 0.3860 MAY1970 -0.1375 -0.3854 JUN1970 -0.8076 0.0000 JUL1970 0.0068 0.3564 AUG1970 -0.5126 -0.5102 SEP1970 -1.8868 -0.4416 OCT1970 -1.7067 -0.0310 NOV1970 -0.6062 0.1060 DEC1970 -1.0439 -0.1256 JAN1971 -0.3309 0.1611 FEB1971 0.3258 0.3357 MAR1971 -0.0863 0.2814 APR1971 0.2532 -0.0529 MAY1971 0.1048 0.3521 JUN1971 0.4023 -0.2824 JUL1971 -0.5859 -0.0409 AUG1971 -0.4954 0.2728 SEP1971 0.2107 0.3687 OCT1971 2.3797 1.5840 NOV1971 1.1765 -0.2007 DEC1971 0.2135 -0.6424 JAN1972 -0.2850 0.0318 FEB1972 0.4151 0.2062 MAR1972 -0.4114 -0.1508 APR1972 -0.1509 -0.3552 MAY1972 0.7585 0.6618 JUN1972 0.7763 -0.2519 JUL1972 0.0124 0.1733 AUG1972 -0.3143 -0.6869 SEP1972 -0.7385 -0.1315 OCT1972 1.4377 0.4749 NOV1972 1.3987 0.6851 DEC1972 1.2139 0.1005 JAN1973 0.1334 -0.1122 FEB1973 0.6362 0.1677 MAR1973 0.2280 0.1504 APR1973 0.7110 0.3953 MAY1973 0.3191 0.1754 JUN1973 0.4221 0.3516 JUL1973 1.1031 -0.4919 AUG1973 0.8348 0.1573 SEP1973 -0.5514 -0.5306 OCT1973 -0.7038 -0.5719 NOV1973 -1.1317 -0.6841 DEC1973 0.1024 0.8558 JAN1974 0.5300 -0.0176 FEB1974 0.4780 0.1285 MAR1974 -0.2381 0.2180 APR1974 0.0304 -0.0646 MAY1974 0.0950 0.4152 JUN1974 -0.1279 0.1805 JUL1974 -0.8330 -0.2369 AUG1974 0.6353 0.5603 SEP1974 1.0346 -0.1629 OCT1974 -0.0584 -0.0911 NOV1974 -0.4673 -0.5715 DEC1974 0.1297 0.1918 JAN1975 0.8549 0.4088 FEB1975 0.4717 0.0476 MAR1975 0.8244 0.2792 APR1975 0.0099 -0.0095 MAY1975 -0.1269 -0.0098 JUN1975 -0.5368 -0.3653 JUL1975 1.9363 0.6376 AUG1975 -0.5021 -1.1000 SEP1975 1.0529 0.6379 OCT1975 0.5463 -0.0192 NOV1975 0.4624 -0.1513 DEC1975 0.1892 0.2696 JAN1976 0.2885 0.0573 FEB1976 0.2438 -0.5724 MAR1976 -0.8636 -0.4262 APR1976 -1.0152 -0.7688 MAY1976 -0.7616 0.2157 JUN1976 0.0962 0.0240 JUL1976 -0.8227 -0.1146 AUG1976 -1.0602 -0.1749 SEP1976 -0.1419 0.2441 OCT1976 0.3335 0.1404 NOV1976 -0.2722 -0.1545 DEC1976 0.4044 0.2456 JAN1977 0.1028 0.0292 FEB1977 -0.9260 -0.4702 MAR1977 0.3473 0.1313 APR1977 -0.4254 -0.1370 MAY1977 -0.2813 0.3232 JUN1977 -0.6438 -0.2057 JUL1977 -1.0768 -0.6723 AUG1977 -1.3410 -0.0269 SEP1977 -0.5348 -0.2245 OCT1977 -0.0069 0.9357 NOV1977 1.2479 0.7018 DEC1977 0.3945 0.3469 JAN1978 0.9019 0.6946 FEB1978 -0.2848 -0.6147 MAR1978 0.4109 0.5005 APR1978 0.3047 0.3221 MAY1978 1.5441 0.3719 JUN1978 0.1091 0.0454 JUL1978 0.5027 -0.2276 AUG1978 0.0993 -0.4281 SEP1978 -0.2002 -1.0700 OCT1978 -0.5340 -0.3180 NOV1978 -0.4863 0.5465 DEC1978 0.2529 -0.1493 JAN1979 0.6727 0.7795 FEB1979 0.1272 0.2322 MAR1979 0.7745 -0.0910 APR1979 0.2615 0.3173 MAY1979 1.2398 0.9045 JUN1979 1.5571 0.1805 JUL1979 -0.2878 -0.3249 AUG1979 -0.6649 -0.6409 SEP1979 1.3699 1.2923 OCT1979 0.6209 -0.3798 NOV1979 1.4389 0.5798 DEC1979 0.3131 -0.4364 JAN1980 0.2767 0.4088 FEB1980 -0.2854 -0.3390 MAR1980 0.3794 0.5168 APR1980 0.1184 0.1067 MAY1980 0.1786 -0.2689 JUN1980 -0.6965 -0.5285 JUL1980 -0.5853 -0.5132 AUG1980 -1.3629 -0.8785 SEP1980 -1.2786 -0.2770 OCT1980 -1.1241 0.3891 NOV1980 -1.1355 0.0089 DEC1980 -1.2834 -0.2382 JAN1981 -1.6091 -0.7836 FEB1981 -0.9437 -0.2392 MAR1981 -1.2372 0.2019 APR1981 -1.1658 -0.5259 MAY1981 -0.9938 0.1147 JUN1981 -0.2209 -0.1818 JUL1981 -1.3226 -0.2912 AUG1981 -0.5965 0.8645 SEP1981 -0.9004 -1.0260 OCT1981 -1.4964 -0.2318 NOV1981 -1.3680 -0.5850 DEC1981 -0.6754 0.4547 JAN1982 0.2624 0.2963 FEB1982 0.2158 0.4559 MAR1982 0.1602 -0.1179 APR1982 -0.5397 0.1067 MAY1982 0.0457 -0.2628 JUN1982 1.2776 0.2504 JUL1982 0.4711 -0.3224 AUG1982 0.2441 -0.2689 SEP1982 -0.5360 0.1691 OCT1982 0.2019 0.1404 NOV1982 0.1861 0.1553 DEC1982 0.6862 0.2791 JAN1983 -0.0750 -0.0176 FEB1983 0.7068 0.6718 MAR1983 0.7536 0.7204 APR1983 0.9749 0.5282 MAY1983 0.7265 -0.0469 JUN1983 0.2081 -0.0712 JUL1983 -0.5695 -1.1550 AUG1983 -1.4958 -0.7151 SEP1983 -1.1721 0.1007 OCT1983 -0.7386 0.2268 NOV1983 -0.2364 0.3010 DEC1983 0.5696 0.5889 JAN1984 0.4445 -0.1289 FEB1984 0.5792 0.3154 MAR1984 0.5040 0.2088 APR1984 0.9624 0.4974 MAY1984 0.6503 0.7551 JUN1984 1.5317 -0.6015 JUL1984 1.2558 0.5774 AUG1984 0.8291 -0.3675 SEP1984 0.3199 0.1914 OCT1984 -0.2282 -0.9701 NOV1984 -0.6689 -0.2209 DEC1984 -0.3561 -0.5218 JAN1985 -0.3320 0.0825 FEB1985 0.4374 0.1822 MAR1985 -0.7060 -0.5917 APR1985 -1.0121 -0.9525 MAY1985 -0.9611 -0.2537 JUN1985 -0.9543 -0.0737 JUL1985 0.1267 0.3473 AUG1985 0.6858 -0.0313 SEP1985 -0.5583 0.4055 OCT1985 0.2953 0.6180 NOV1985 1.6684 1.0355 DEC1985 0.7989 -0.8009 JAN1986 -0.6619 -0.2840 FEB1986 -0.7326 -0.6345 MAR1986 -0.6479 -0.5520 APR1986 -1.0406 -0.5671 MAY1986 -0.8999 -0.5847 JUN1986 -1.4427 -0.2327 JUL1986 -1.5507 -0.0949 AUG1986 0.9993 1.1052 SEP1986 0.2218 -1.1490 OCT1986 -0.9409 -0.3687 NOV1986 -1.1079 -0.2040 DEC1986 -0.3029 0.3145 JAN1987 0.9466 1.0227 FEB1987 0.1702 -0.0233 MAR1987 0.7869 0.3234 APR1987 1.1795 0.4138 MAY1987 0.2353 -0.5439 JUN1987 -0.2308 -0.1451 JUL1987 -0.8969 -0.8060 AUG1987 -1.4418 -0.0940 SEP1987 0.0700 0.4755 OCT1987 -0.7129 -0.6071 NOV1987 -0.9597 0.0352 DEC1987 -0.5352 0.0479 JAN1988 -0.0769 0.1099 FEB1988 -0.1818 -0.1479 MAR1988 -1.0110 -0.4327 APR1988 -0.4061 0.3125 MAY1988 -0.2217 0.1098 JUN1988 -0.7217 0.0454 JUL1988 -1.0392 -0.6092 AUG1988 -1.2090 -0.1515 SEP1988 -1.0682 -0.4478 OCT1988 -0.6235 0.0777 NOV1988 0.1027 0.2656 DEC1988 -0.7562 -1.0010 JAN1989 -0.9702 -0.2268 FEB1989 -0.1129 0.2742 MAR1989 1.0550 0.8922 APR1989 0.9190 0.9115 MAY1989 1.5201 0.3565 JUN1989 1.2599 0.5613 JUL1989 0.9850 0.1280 AUG1989 0.8484 0.0575 SEP1989 0.0088 0.3687 OCT1989 1.1907 0.7121 NOV1989 1.0512 0.2451 DEC1989 1.0368 0.2091 JAN1990 0.3754 -0.0929 FEB1990 0.3873 -0.0887 MAR1990 -0.1580 0.2340 APR1990 0.7889 -0.0095 MAY1990 0.5465 0.6246 JUN1990 0.3421 -0.5579 JUL1990 -0.6519 -0.4999 AUG1990 0.5116 0.3721 SEP1990 -0.2875 -1.1380 OCT1990 -0.1372 0.1854 NOV1990 -0.5787 -0.2657 DEC1990 -0.4149 -0.2540 JAN1991 0.3224 0.4302 FEB1991 -0.9819 -0.8668 MAR1991 -0.4099 0.3539 APR1991 -0.0535 0.0217 MAY1991 -0.5256 -0.7234 JUN1991 -0.9206 0.1446 JUL1991 -0.1375 0.4761 AUG1991 0.2482 0.2845 SEP1991 -0.6325 -0.0678 OCT1991 -0.4743 0.1024 NOV1991 -1.1009 -0.4898 DEC1991 -1.3834 0.0452 JAN1992 0.5778 0.0950 FEB1992 -0.7408 -0.4667 MAR1992 -0.0821 -0.0382 APR1992 -0.5904 -0.3481 MAY1992 -0.7803 0.1122 JUN1992 0.4762 0.1827 JUL1992 0.1906 -0.2369 AUG1992 1.4672 0.9022 SEP1992 0.0201 -0.2300 OCT1992 0.0357 -0.0076 NOV1992 1.0859 0.5443 DEC1992 0.8231 -0.0565 JAN1993 0.7465 0.5770 FEB1993 -0.4136 -0.2636 MAR1993 0.7685 0.5228 APR1993 0.7950 0.1880 MAY1993 -0.1296 -0.2063 JUN1993 -0.2986 -0.2546 JUL1993 -0.8810 -0.7197 AUG1993 -1.6319 -0.6962 SEP1993 -1.4200 -0.0880 OCT1993 -1.5882 0.6956 NOV1993 -1.3839 -0.1676 DEC1993 -0.0823 0.0585 JAN1994 -0.2550 0.3676 FEB1994 0.0297 -0.2033 MAR1994 0.6510 0.7777 APR1994 0.0432 -0.6864 MAY1994 -0.8301 -0.1888 JUN1994 -1.0083 -0.0048 JUL1994 -0.6301 -0.0624 AUG1994 -0.4625 -0.2106 SEP1994 -0.9387 0.0326 OCT1994 -1.2445 0.2036 NOV1994 -0.9758 0.1901 DEC1994 -1.3875 -0.4150 JAN1995 -0.7106 0.2040 FEB1995 -0.0132 0.3867 MAR1995 0.2634 -0.1098 APR1995 -1.3406 -0.5755 MAY1995 -1.1761 -0.2063 JUN1995 1.1050 0.8150 JUL1995 1.0959 -0.5592 AUG1995 -0.6664 -0.1191 SEP1995 -0.4772 -0.0578 OCT1995 1.4658 0.6623 NOV1995 1.4662 0.2834 DEC1995 0.1763 -0.3593 JAN1996 0.4620 0.1921 FEB1996 0.3546 -0.1739 MAR1996 -0.2522 0.1551 APR1996 -0.0290 0.0048 MAY1996 0.3088 -0.0416 JUN1996 0.0467 0.1782 JUL1996 -0.2372 0.7144 AUG1996 0.2021 0.0383 SEP1996 2.2326 0.7664 OCT1996 1.8120 0.5442 NOV1996 0.9639 0.2605 DEC1996 0.9671 0.0638 JAN1997 0.2253 -0.1714 FEB1997 0.1630 -0.1944 MAR1997 -0.1980 -0.0175 APR1997 -0.3500 0.2337 MAY1997 0.7577 -0.4728 JUN1997 0.2897 -0.3979 JUL1997 -0.2447 -0.1704 AUG1997 -0.9151 -0.6745 SEP1997 -0.7469 0.2157 OCT1997 -0.6322 -0.2185 NOV1997 -0.2774 0.3505 DEC1997 -0.2452 0.1467 JAN1998 0.6514 0.5365 FEB1998 1.0977 0.5580 MAR1998 1.0290 0.2180 APR1998 0.1551 0.0076 MAY1998 0.0143 0.1416 JUN1998 -0.5115 -0.1065 JUL1998 -0.8364 0.0139 AUG1998 -1.1209 -0.0849 SEP1998 -0.5669 -0.1735 OCT1998 -1.0968 -0.3650 NOV1998 -1.1433 -0.2175 DEC1998 -0.7681 0.3925 JAN1999 0.5364 0.3741 FEB1999 -0.6830 -0.5240 MAR1999 -0.5165 -0.0644 APR1999 -0.5480 -0.0735 MAY1999 -0.5082 -0.2780 JUN1999 -1.2575 -0.2004 JUL1999 -1.1686 -0.1908 AUG1999 -0.9314 0.0617 SEP1999 3.6360 2.1658 OCT1999 2.6942 0.8921 NOV1999 0.7475 -0.4173 DEC1999 0.1358 -0.5647 ; DATA AIRLINE; INPUT AIR @@; LAIRPASS=LOG(AIR); TITLE 'SERIES G'; TITLE2 'INTERNATIONAL AIRLINES PASSENGERS'; YEAR=INT((_N_-1)/12)+1949; MONTH=MOD(_N_-1,12)+1; DATE=MDY(MONTH,1,YEAR); FORMAT DATE MONYY5.; CARDS; 112 118 132 129 121 135 148 148 136 119 104 118 115 126 141 135 125 149 170 170 158 133 114 140 145 150 178 163 172 178 199 199 184 162 146 166 171 180 193 181 183 218 230 242 209 191 172 194 196 196 236 235 229 243 264 272 237 211 180 201 204 188 235 227 234 264 302 293 259 229 203 229 242 233 267 269 270 315 364 347 312 274 237 278 284 277 317 313 318 374 413 405 355 306 271 306 315 301 356 348 355 422 465 467 404 347 305 336 340 318 362 348 363 435 491 505 404 359 310 337 360 342 406 396 420 472 548 559 463 407 362 405 417 391 419 461 472 535 622 606 508 461 390 432 ; PROC ARIMA DATA=AIRLINE; I VAR=LAIRPASS; I VAR=LAIRPASS(1); I VAR=LAIRPASS(1,12); E Q=(1)(12); F LEAD=12 OUT=OUT1 ID=DATE INTERVAL=MONTH; DATA OUT1; SET OUT1; PASS=EXP(LAIRPASS); L95=EXP(L95); U95=EXP(U95); FORECAST=EXP(FORECAST); PROC GPLOT; PLOT (PASS L95 U95 FORECAST)*DATE/OVERLAY; *----------------------------------------------------------*; DATA PAMLICO; SET PAMLICO END=EOF; ARRAY M(12); DO I=1 TO 12; M(I) = (MONTH(DATE)=I); END; OUTPUT; IF EOF THEN DO J=1 TO 24; DATE=INTNX('MONTH',DATE,1); LFLOW=.; DO I=1 TO 12; M(I)=(MONTH=(DATE)=I); END; END; PROC ARIMA; I VAR=LFLOWP CROSSCOR=(M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11) NOPRINT; E INPUT = (M1 etc. M11) P=1; F LEAD = 24 ID=DATE; *-----------------------------------------------------------------*; PROC AUTOREG DATA=PAMLICO; MODEL LFLOWP=M1-M11 / NLAG=13 BACKSTEP; *----------------------------------------------------------------*; PROC ARIMA DATA=PAMLICO; I VAR=LR8 NLAG=4; E P=1; ** RAINFALL**; I VAR=LFLOWP CROSSCOR=(LR8) NLAG=5; E INPUT=( (1)/(1) LR8) NOINT P=2 Q=(4) ML; F LEAD=1 OUT=OUTP ID=DATE; *-----------------------------------------------------------------*; DATA PAMLICO; SET PAMLICO; FLOYD=(DATE='01SEP99'D ); PROC ARIMA; I VAR=LR8 NLAG=4; E P=1; ** RAINFALL**; I VAR=LFLOWP CROSSCOR=(LR8 FLOYD) NLAG=5; E INPUT=( (1)/(1) LR8 /(1) FLOYD ) NOINT P=2 Q=(4) ML; F LEAD=1 OUT=OUTP ID=DATE; RUN;