Department of Statistics Seminar
North Carolina State University

presents

Raymond Webster, Jungsoon Choi, Jiajun Liu

North Carolina State University

A Sampler of Graduate students

Modeling Observer Effects on Animal Density and Detection for Combined Distance and Capture-Recapture Data
Abstract
: The estimation of animal density using distance sampling methods generally ignores the effects of survey transects or observers on local animal density or detection probability. Typically, density is assumed to be uniform around the transect, which fails to allow for avoidance of or attraction to the transect by an animal species, while detection probability must be perfect on the transect, which may be untrue for many species. We propose parametric models for combined distance and capture-recapture survey data from line and point transect surveys that allow for two types of movement: permanent avoidance of or attraction to a transect, and temporary displacement of animals in the vicinity of a transect. Through a simulation study, we show that, provided sufficient animals are detected, the parameter estimators have little bias, and can lead to improved density estimates over the uniform model. We apply our models to a point transect survey of birds in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park.
*This is joint work with Kenneth Pollock (NCSU)

Multivariate Spatiotemporal Model for Speciated Fine Particulate Matter*
Abstract: Fine particle matter (PM2.5) is an atmospheric pollutant that has been linked to serious health problems, including mortality. PM2.5 is a mixture of pollutants, and it has five main components: sulfate, nitrate, total carbonaceous mass, ammonium, and crustal materials. These components have complex spatial -temporal dependency and cross-dependency structures. It is important to gain insight and better understanding about the spatial distribution of each component of total PM2.5, and also to estimate how the composition of PM2.5 might change with location and season.

In this work we introduce a multivariate spatiotemporal model for speciated PM2.5. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical framework with spatiotemporally varying coefficients. In addition, a linear coregionalization model is developed to account for spatial and temporal dependence across the five different components as well as the associations among components at a given location and time. We apply our model to speciated PM2.5 monitoring data in the United States for the year 2004 from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
*This is joint work with Montserrat Fuentes, Brian Reich, and Jerry M. Davis (NCSU)

Analysis of Gene Expression Data Using the Gene Ontology*
Abstract: New technologies for biological systems give scientists the ability to measure thousands of gene expression for bio-molecule including genes, proteins, lipids and metabolites. Our goal is to use domain knowledge, e.g. the Gene Ontology, to guide analysis of such data. By focusing on domain-aggregated results at, say the molecular function level, increased interpretability is available to biological scientists beyond what is possible if results are presented at the gene level. We use a “top-down” approach to perform domain aggregation by first combining gene expression before testing for differentially expressed patterns. This is contrast to the more standard “bottom-up approach where genes are first tested individually then aggregated by domain knowledge. Our method is assessed and compared to other methods using a series of simulation studies. Implications from analysis of a real dataset are also presented.
*This is joint work with J. M. Hughes-Oliver (NCSU) and Alan Menius (GSK)

Friday, August 25, 2006

3:35 - 4:35 pm

206 Cox Hall

Refreshments will be served on the second floor of Dabney Hall (left of Room 222) at 3:00 pm.